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 Potomac Crossings --By George Mason


The Profile of Safety

On Thursday evening the U.S. House of Representatives rejected the federalization of airport baggage screeners by a vote of 218-214 and then passed the administration-backed bill allowing private sector baggage screeners by a vote of 286-139. The bill now goes to conference with the Senate

With 2.2 million fewer passengers flying in the last week of October than one year ago, Congress was visibly agitated about the effect on the economy of unanswered doubts about air travel safety. A contraction in the economy of 0.4 percent in the third quarter on an annualized basis was less than economists had predicted and raised hopes that the downturn would be short-lived.

It was also reveled that an amendment slipped into the counter terrorism bill passed and signed into law last week contained a provision giving permission for the Justice Department to require foreign visitors to carry fraud and tamper resistant biometric identification cards. The requirement would also be extended to the 29 nations that participate in visa-waiver programs with the United States. One passenger safety program that is now in place is the Capps profiling system.

Capps stands for Computer-Assisted Passenger Prescreening System. It is a passenger profiling program that has been run by the FAA over the past four years. It is designed to legally avoid the liability of violating the politically correct issues of selecting suspect passengers using race or ethnicity by employing an expanded computer matrix to select possible high-risk passengers.

Before 9/11, Capps was used solely to make sure that certain passenger luggage was X-rayed for explosives without their knowledge. Since 9/11, users of Capps have shifted their emphasis beyond baggage to passenger screening. The revamped airline-passenger profiling system is classified but there are some details of which passengers should be aware.

Shared Watch Lists. For the first time in its history, the FBI is willing to share its suspect watch lists and give airlines using Capps access to its list of suspected terrorists. The agency, renowned for its territorial imperative, feared that if unauthorized persons leaked the list, terrorists would assume new identities. Whether the current cooperative mood can overcome entrenched FBI culture is still problematic.

In the spirit of homeland defense, the Customs Service and the Immigration and Naturalization Service are also suddenly willing to share their watch lists with airlines. To date, these sharing programs have not been implemented but are supposedly "on the way." One impediment is that the international version of Capps, called APIS, is used cooperatively by 98 foreign airlines but not those of the Middle East. Lead by Saudi Arabia, the Middle Eastern flag carriers refuse to share passenger manifests with the APIS pool.

Specific Targeting. A risk profile uses a computer matrix to evaluate whether or not there is a reasonable basis to devote focused attention on a particular individual. It makes a selection by the weight of a combination of indicators. Such a procedure can pass constitutional muster. Patterns that can point to terrorism are collected from the way flyer's book and buy their tickets. Included in the mix are both the countries of origin of the passenger and the country of origin of the flight. Names, addresses and how and when passengers paid are part of the data-collection process. Input continues with data on how the passenger is dressed, the travel history and even purchases made at airport shops. For example, two of the 9/11 hijackers booked their flights over the Internet with a credit card but picked the tickets up from a travel agency and paid cash.

The European and Israeli systems are much more sophisticated and may serve as the model for improvements. Fed by data from Interpol, their systems assign a risk profile to each passenger. Factors even include whether or not the passenger has donated to a suspect charitable organization. Both systems look for the purchase of one-way tickets, paying in cash, traveling alone, purchasing tickets for passengers with different last names on the same credit card and purchasing tickets with the same credit card in more than one transaction.

Manual Screening. Manual screening subjects certain passengers to a series of personal searches and questioning. The recent Gore Commission recommended to the FAA the industry-wide application of a system developed by Northwest Airlines. For reasons of political correctness, the method has been limited to screening checked baggage only and not to selecting candidates for interviews. That will now change.

By contrast, the European model considers "the bomber as dangerous as the bomb." Screeners wearing wireless communications armbands are stationed throughout the terminal, a suspicious passenger's name and boarding pass number are flashed on the armband and the suspect is pulled aside for questioning.

High Tech Advances. Certain security software is in place or about to be put in place throughout the travel system. Airlines are not willing to comment but the features are broadly known.

The first system recognizes multiple English spellings of Muslim, Middle Eastern and Arabic names and determines whether or not an individual has traveled previously with an airline under a slightly different spelling of the same name or similar-sounding aliases. A second system updates the watch list twice a day and immediately crosschecks the list against recent reservations, notifying both the FBI and the airlines when it finds a match. By adding Customs and INS data to the data, it will be possible to highlight suspects while they are still overseas and haven't yet entered the United States or catch them upon arrival.

On international flights, the U.S. may soon bring itself into conformity with identification requirements put in place in other countries. These entry and check in requirements include fingerprint, iris scans, video face and even voice recognition. The issue no one wants to address at home is that the borders of the USA are so extensive and so porous that unless Canadian and Mexican international airports and seaports are screening as strictly as we do, we will accomplish little.

For the moment, the idea of a compulsory national identity card is dead in the water. Civil liberty objections prevail. However, several back door attempts are still on the table. Legislation is being offered that would require mandatory ID with fingerprints for non-citizens entering the U.S. from elsewhere. The current law only gives the Justice Department the option to initiate a foreign ID system. A voluntary air traveler's ID that would hasten check in procedures for the bearer have been proposed. The American Association of Motor Vehicle Administrators is designing recommendations for inter-connective, standardized state driver's license systems.

The airline safety bill headed for conference committee would allow pilots to carry guns if they want to and are properly trained. It would mandate stronger cockpit doors, permanent transponders, screening of all checked baggage and the deployment of more air marshals. It would also extend liability protection and limit lawsuits from the highjack attacks. What provisions will remain after the conference committee is still not clear. Both versions of the bill assess a service fee to passengers to pay for the federally-supervised inspectors.


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