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Truth Gouging and Social Security
When someone moves to Washington and meets political elites for the first time, one question instantly comes to mind: "Are they that stupid or do they think I’m that stupid?" A noted reporter doing a TV interview seems utterly confused by the idea that allocating 1/6th of the social security tax to investments would increase the return for the recipient. "Didn’t you cut the benefit?" she asks. "You have to add together the reduced benefit and the increased return of the invested portion," she is patiently told. She shakes her head in seeming disbelief. The headline she wanted was that the benefits would be cut. Is she that confused or has she been foiled in her effort to be a propagandist?

As a retirement plan for the 21st century, Social Security is a particular curse for the poor. It crowds out their really limited money for savings by mandating a tax that is used to pay for people who are currently retired. It deprives participants of property rights in their earnings. The payees have no guarantees of a set benefit other that what future politicians decide. It deprives the working poor and lower middle class of the chance to build personal wealth through achieving a fair return on their retirement savings, compounded over a working lifetime. The moderate and low income workers lose the resources they need to give their family a financial foothold through inheritance. The poor are kept dependent by being deprived of the chance to participate as a stakeholder in a thriving economy.

 
The blunt truth is this. Martin Fieldstein, a Harvard economics professor estimates that if the 12.4 percent payroll tax is left unchanged, our aging population will eventually require a 30 percent reduction in projected benefits or an increase in the payroll tax to 19 percent. The alternatives are a combination of the above or an infusion of general revenues that would change the universal character of the program into just another welfare scheme.

The cost to fix the program early is modest but does require making general revenue payments to current retirees while the transition takes place. That fact creates the interesting argument by some supporters that the program is so bad that we can’t afford to fix it. Can we? The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) currently projects an income tax overpayment of $2.174 trillion over ten years and a Social Security payroll tax overpayment of $2.386 trillion for a total projected surplus of $4.560 trillion.

Some of the proposals to be discussed this political season avoid such a painful choice as higher taxes or lower benefits by substantially increasing the low return provided by Social Security through the addition of Personal Retirement Accounts. All new proposals have a safety net and are voluntary so that enrollees can opt to keep what they have without making any change. Benefits for current retirees are not affected. The payroll tax is the primary tax for a majority of Americans. Programs that keep that tax from rising benefit the poor. Programs that prevent benefits from declining also primarily help the poor. It’s an alternative worthy of serious debate.

Under reform proposals, the payroll tax and rate would still be compulsory. A fraction of the money could be invested by individuals in an approved annuity or an approved portfolio of stocks and/or bonds. Over the past 80 years, stocks have averaged about eight percent annual return, bonds about four percent and Social Security a bit less than two percent.

When the self-interest of the electorate lies opposite to a program the elite espouses, fearmongering becomes the major weapon of choice. The statist left is so concerned that people will actually understand how Social Security works that their demagoguery is becoming more incessant. Instead of refighting the Great Depression, let’s look at the status quo they are defending.

The current system taxes at a constant rate from the first dollar earned. It is therefore regressive, taxing everyone the same regardless of ability to pay. After a designated limit, the rich make no further payments. The Social Security tax is also the primary federal tax paid by most citizens. The payroll tax deprives the poor of the dollars they need to invest in their own retirement in order to pay for anyone and everyone already retired. The Social Security tax overcharges by one-two percentage points and thereby creates a "surplus" that is promptly spent on financing other phases of government. There is no money in the trust fund. It is dependent on future allocations of taxes by a future Congress to honor the IOUs of today. The current Social Security liability exceeds $21.6 trillion or four times the national debt.

As medical science advances while huge population of Boomers age, the idea that you pay for your parents and your children will pay for you becomes mathematically impossible. The original legislation was put into place in an era where half the population died before age 65. In today’s world, your parents are expected to pay for your grandparents but both are retired and still functioning – one in a planned community and the other in assisted living. For the poor, assisted living and a planned community mean moving in with the children, if they are available.

The Social Security taxpayer has no rights, just a voiceless obligation to pay the tax. The scheduled payouts and eligibility rules are completely at the whim of politicians and not guaranteed. The Social Security system participant has no property rights and no individual account. If he or she dies young, the accumulated tax payments belong to the government.

The current system, devised at the turn of the 19th century and adopted here nearly 70 years ago, is simply obsolete. Since then, country’s using the socialist model have demonstrably failed to provide for their citizens. The capitalist model has proven to be the only way to consistently create wealth. To see what a difference the individual opportunity to build wealth makes, compare the results from current Social Security policy and a retirement system that requires the same amount (12.4%) to be invested completely by an individual who has property rights and is a stakeholder in capitalism.

Social Security vs Private Accounts

In ‘ 000

Male
Age $SSTax %SSReturn $PrivInvst %PrivReturn $Dif
20

265

(0.94)

965

4.8

700

30

248

(0.54)

872

5.1

624

40

238

(0.11)

979

6.0

747

50

240

0.69

1,012

6.9

772

60

176

1.37

879

7.0

627

40

233

0.94

941

5.9

694

Female
20

291

1.8

539

4.8

248

30

265

2.0

504

5.1

239

40

240

2.2

594

6.2

354

50

233

2.6

598

6.9

365

60

229

3.0

482

6.8

252

40

252

2.3

543

6.0

292

Combined Average
40 243 1.2 742 6.0 493
Sources: www.socialsecurity.org, and www.heritage.org/SocialSecurity

How to read. This table shows that a 40-year old male under Social Security would lose the ability to earn 6.0 percent on average stock and bond performance and, instead, receive a return of minus 11/100ths of one percent from Social Security. As a result, he would have paid over his lifetime $238,000 in payroll taxes and been deprived of the ownership of a$979,000 investment. Were he to spend in retirement at the Social Security payment level, his heirs would still have $747,000 in their possession. He would be free, of course, to spend more. Were he to die early, the heirs would also have the remaining portion of the $238,000. For the sake of an unguaranteed promise of meager income, the government has deprived him of the chance to build the real wealth that would be his family’s road out of poverty.

To calculate your own Social Security account performance differences, visit the two sources cited with the table.

###



George Mason, 1725-92, was known as the Sage of Gunston Hall. His Virginia declaration of rights, written in 1776, was the model for the first section of the Declaration of Independence. A friend of Patrick Henry and Thomas Jefferson, Mason was an original drafter of the Constitution and the first ten amendments to the Bill of Rights. He refused, however, to sign the final version of the Constitution because he thought it did too little for individuals and, without the Bill of Rights, gave too much power to the government.This column honors his memory.


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