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With regard to... Diminishing Returns
--By Jerry Sikes, RRP/CHA

“I keep giving them my good weeks and all they offer me back is crap.”

- Jim Martin -
Eugene, Oregon

Jim and Bonnie are the best kind of timeshare owners. They love to travel and have found that the timeshare concept fits their lifestyle exceptionally well, thus they are multiple week owners at several resorts across the country. They live in Eugene and own at one of the best resorts on the Oregon coast and another of their other ownerships is just about as far away from Oregon as it can be and still remain in the states, that would be Key West. They are what we like to call ‘Timeshare Smart’ thus have understood how to play the exchange game and historically were able to get where they wanted to go when they wanted to go there. Jim and Bonnie have been very selective in their purchases and have always sought out the best resorts in the height of their seasons. They just don’t own anything that on the surface would cause them to have difficulty obtaining a satisfactory exchange. They are indeed the type of owner the timeshare industry needs as they almost always take friends with them on their trips to various resorts and have introduced many to our concept over the years.

One of the resorts in Arizona at which they are longtime owners holds both the Gold Crown and 5 Star designations and is all red time. That resort has historically been in very high demand and still maintains a 98.7% utilization rate. That means that every time (or almost) one of the owners provides a unit at the resort to any one of the exchange companies it gets used by one of their members.  The resort is in such high demand that several of the better known Clubs can be counted among its owners as each have purchased several hundred weeks to fill the demands of their club members.

Beginning about 36 months ago Jim has been experiencing problems with exchange equality. While he had been very selective in his acquisition (the best weeks – best resorts - highest demand locations - height of season – correct size), always deposited his weeks early and provided wide options in dates and locations, the offerings from the exchange company began to vary greatly.

In his most recent foray into the world of exchange, Jim was attempting to obtain the use right in a two bedroom in Southern California for the Arizona week he had banked over a year ago. Typically his request was for anytime between week 20 and week 26 yet he was advised that only 2 resorts were available and neither one of them was the equivalent to his Arizona facility.

This situation is not unique to Jim and Bonnie. Many timeshare owners are experiencing the same problems and most of them are also ‘Timeshare Smart’ meaning that they too are experienced in the game. Rule 1 of that game was that if you wanted to have consistency in exchanging you needed to belong to an exchange firm or firms.

They understood that the exchange companies build their inventory by accepting deposits of weeks from owners seeking to make exchanges through the exchange company.  In addition, developers also sometimes deposit unsold weeks with an exchange company so that there will be more people visiting the resort during its sales stage.  ‘Timeshare Smart’ owners knew that when you deposit a week with an exchange company, you receive the right to obtain another week from the exchange company’s inventory of available weeks, subject to the rules and restrictions of the exchange company.  These rules differ somewhat exchange firm to exchange firm. Some exchanges companies will allow you to search their inventory before you deposit your week; other exchange companies will not allow you to search for an exchange unless you first deposit your week. 

‘Timeshare Smart’ owners also knew that value was an important concept to understand. This was basic for most internal exchange programs and exchange companies generally operate on the basis of exchanging timeshares of like value. The concept of value was easily understood because it was based on common sense factors. The first of those common sense ‘value’ factors was Location.

Almost everyone is familiar with the story of that cornfield in Iowa and the mythical concept of “If you build it they will come.”  That movie story line reversed the concept of ‘location, location, location’ that is so well known in the hospitality business and the foundation for development. In truth, to be successful you must build where they want to go rather than relying on the ‘they will come’ myth.  ‘Timeshare Smart’ owners knew this because it applied to them. They wanted to vacation at the beach, in the mountains, or near major attractions both natural and man-made. These popular destinations created demand for accommodations that timeshare developers were quick to provide. If these developers rushed in too quickly the possibility that the demand / supply factor could get out of balance existed. Demand increases value while supply decreases it, subsequently locations with high demand and limited supply will always have higher value.

The second of those common sense ‘value’ factors was Season.

For most of us the term season brings thoughts of spring, summer, fall and winter and these are all about changes in the weather and weather always affects value. It is obvious that summer sunshine and the beach are good, as is snow in the mountains and skiing. In winter rain in the mountains is actually snowfall and a good thing, however rain in the spring only adds to the snowmelt and enhances the mud. In the winter a little rain on a Florida or Caribbean beach is less of a deterrent to a beach enthusiast than an Easterner blowing in along the Cape Cod Seashore.

When most of the ‘Timeshare Smart’ individuals purchased, seasons were designated by the colors red, white and blue. ‘Red’ being high demand, “white” being mid-demand and ‘blue’ being low demand seasons. Back then it was relativity easy to establish what season to buy if you wanted to insure value. However, everyone knew that even within the same color season, certain weeks had higher value. As an example, most Arizona resorts are designated all ‘red’ yet everyone knows that in the Sonora Desert July is hot, dry and not necessarily the best time to enjoy the outdoor beauty of that area. The same holds true for Southern California beaches. Most are all ‘red’ however; summer weeks have higher value than winter weeks because of the family and school’s-out impact.

The third of those common sense ‘value’ factors was Deposit timing.

‘Timeshare Smart’ individuals understood that while the exchange firms had earnings from their membership fees, the real money was in the exchange fees and they wanted to maximize the number of exchanges made in any given year. While a family like Jim and Bonnie maintained one membership they own several weeks and the exchange firm wants them and all other multi-week owners to exchange as many of them each year as possible. The reality was that no exchange could be made until exchange inventory was available and that required (for the most part) that individual owners deposit their weeks. For the exchange firms an early deposit is more valuable than a late deposit because the majority of vacation plans were made one to two years in advance.  Ideally the best time of deposit is a year or more prior to the check-in date because the exchange firms reward early deposits with ‘value’. Subsequently, a ‘blue’ week deposited early could have more ‘value’ than a ‘red’ week deposited late. 

The fourth of those common sense ‘value’ factors was Unit size.

In reality ‘Timeshare Smart’ owners knew it wasn’t unit size that was important as much as it was unit accommodations. The question was always ‘how many would it sleep, what was the privacy factor, how many bathrooms, full or partial kitchen?’ and not ‘how many square feet?’ Obviously a 1200 sq foot – two bedroom – two bath – full kitchen that sleeps 6 with privacy for 4 would have more value than a 1200 sq foot - one bath studio – partial kitchen - that sleeps 4 but had privacy for only 2. Just as obviously a 1,000 sq foot - one-bedroom – two bath full kitchen that sleeps 4 with privacy for 4, directly on the beach will have more ‘value’ than the 1200 sq foot – two bedroom – two bath – full kitchen that sleeps 6 with privacy for 4, that is 4 miles from the beach. 

The fifth of those common sense ‘value’ factors was Resort rating.

Those who were really ‘Timeshare Smart’ understood that these ratings were based on facility and service criteria established by the exchange firms and only indicate that the resort maintains the minimum established standards. Achieving such standards of course increased the desirability of a specific resort, however it had little affect on the key factors of supply and demand. An owner who wants to be directly on the beach will place higher value on location than on facility or service ratings.

So if the ‘Timeshare Smart’ owners such as Jim and Bonnie knew and understood the game, exchange firm rules and the ‘value’ factors why is it that they are now experiencing feelings of diminishing returns?

Final Thought

Timeshare owners such as Jim and Bonnie, who have been industry consumers for several years, are feeling most of the current frustration. Their beginning ownership predates three specific industry events. [A] The advent of points,  [B] the entry of major hospitality brands into the industry and [C] an increasing emphasis on member self-service via Internet interface. These three events brought about at least four primary areas of impact on the typical “weeks” owner and the resorts where they owned. Those impacts were….

The old rules don’t apply anymore.
    1. Supply has outpaced demand in certain markets.
    2. A shrinking pool of inventory available to “weeks” owners even in a time of industry growth.
    3. A diminished one-on-one conflict resolution effort and a decline in actual consumer services.

In the coming weeks we will explore these and other impacts in more depth however, for now just consider the following …

The basic principal of exchange was like for like (two-bedroom for two-bedroom), then it evolved into value for value (location-season-deposit time-unit size-resort rating) and now it's ‘position on the food chain’ with ‘weeks’ owners at the lowest level.

The exchange value of many weeks in markets such as Orlando and Phoenix has greatly diminished due to the major changes in supply and demand.

‘Points’ owners can exchange into resorts that are not available to ‘week’ owners and owners in major hotel brand resorts tend to exchange within the brand or club.

And as Jim would say: “Just try to get someone at the exchange firm on line to discuss your problem with you.”

What do you think?

Part 2: Changing Rules Part 3: A Theory Part 4: Circumstances


Jerry Sikes, RRP / CHA, is President of Professional Resort Operators, Inc., Scottsdale, Arizona. He has over 35 years in the Hospitality Industry / over 25 years in Timesharing, and is the current Co-Chairman of ARDA Arizona as well as Chairman of the Arizona Timeshare Management Association.

Jerry is a frequent guest speaker regionally and nationally on all aspects of Timeshare Management and a frequent contributor of articles for industry publications. He writes informative and easy to read weekly columns on the business of properly managing resorts and people, and on other issues of interest to the industry.
READ THE COLUMN
Email:
boyjerry@cox.net
Web site:
http://www.protimeshare.com

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